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Miscarriage Risk by Week 

Globally, about 30% of pregnancies end in miscarriage, constituting the importance of understanding the miscarriage risk by week. In this article, we delve into the miscarriage statistics, recurrent miscarriage risk factors, and coping strategies. We also look into the impact of ectopic pregnancy on miscarriage risk and measures to help reduce the risk of pregnancy loss. 

miscarriage risk by week

Miscarriage Rates by Week

Miscarriage is the loss of pregnancy during the first 20 weeks of pregnancy. About 80% of miscarriages occur during the first trimester of pregnancy before the 12th week. The risk of miscarriage significantly drops as the pregnancy grows through the second trimester and beyond. The table below represents a summary overview of miscarriage risk week by week of pregnancy.


Week of pregnancy Miscarriage risk (%)
Week 1-4 10-25
Week 5-8 5-10
Week 9-12 3-5
Week 13-16 1-3
Week 17-20 <1

Please remember that the above figures are general estimates, and your situation may differ depending on circumstances. If you have a history of miscarriage or you are concerned about your pregnancy, consult your fertility healthcare provider for professional assistance.


Common Risk Factors and Signs of Miscarriage

The primary signs of miscarriage include vaginal bleeding, abdominal pain, passing tissue, back pain, and reduced pregnancy symptoms. Also, if a pregnancy ultrasound detects no heartbeat, it could mean the loss of a pregnancy. 


The common risk factors of miscarriage comprise advanced maternal age, chromosomal abnormalities, hormonal imbalances, and uterine abnormalities such as uterine fibroids and polyps. Moreover, some lifestyle factors like obesity, smoking, and alcohol and drug abuse can contribute to miscarriage. 


12 Weeks In: Miscarriage Rates and Statistics in the Second Trimester and beyond

After the first trimester, which spans approximately 12 weeks of pregnancy, the risk of miscarriage tends to decrease. Research indicates that the rate of miscarriage drops to around 2-3% after week 12 of pregnancy. This reassuring decline provides hope for expecting parents and signifies a higher likelihood of a successful pregnancy extending past the first trimester.


Recurrent Miscarriage: Causes and Coping Strategies

Recurrent miscarriage,  or multiple early pregnancy losses, is the occurrence of 3 or more miscarriages in a row before reaching the 20th gestation week. This experience can be emotionally challenging and distressing for couples trying to start a family. It is important to note that early pregnancy loss, or spontaneous abortion, often occurs by chance and is not necessarily a result of your fault. 


Causes of Recurrent Miscarriage

Understanding the possible causes is crucial in efficiently managing and preventing recurrent miscarriages. Some of the primary complications that may lead to multiple miscarriages include:


  • Genetic Abnormalities: The presence of chromosomal malformations in you or your partner can increase your risk of miscarriage. Genetic counselling can help detect potential genetic issues and guide conception decisions.
  • Hormonal Imbalances: Hormone imbalances, including progesterone levels and thyroid problems, can impact pregnancy viability, ultimately leading to recurrent miscarriages.
  • Structural Problems: Uterine anatomical abnormalities like uterine fibroids or septum can affect embryo implantation and contribute to repeated pregnancy losses.
  • Autoimmune Disorders: Certain immune system disorders, including systemic lupus erythematosus or antiphospholipid syndrome, can result in blood clotting issues, increasing the miscarriage risk.
  • Lifestyle Factors: Unhealthy lifestyle practices such as alcohol abuse, smoking, illegal drugs, and prolonged environmental toxin exposure can increase the likelihood of miscarriages.

 

Coping Strategies for Recurrent Miscarriage

Some helpful coping strategies to consider include:


  • Self-Care: Prioritise activities that improve your well-being, such as yoga, sufficient rest, exercise, and mindfulness or meditation.
  • Seek Emotional Support: Having supportive family and friends or joining local support groups of people with similar experiences can be helpful. Also, you can consider professional therapy to help heal from the emotional impact of miscarriage. 
  • Adopt a Healthy Lifestyle: Eat a balanced diet, exercise moderately, and maintain a healthy weight. It would be best if you also quit harmful habits such as alcohol abuse or smoking.
  • Communicate with Your Partner: Promote honest and open communication with your partner. Sharing your hopes, fears, and feelings can help strengthen your bond during challenging times.
  • Seek Medical Evaluation: Going for a medical evaluation with a qualified fertility doctor is crucial. A comprehensive exam can help detect the underlying cause and determine a suitable treatment option. The examination may involve hormonal assessment, genetic testing, blood tests, immune evaluation, and ultrasound.


Ectopic Pregnancy and Its Impact on Miscarriage Risk

An ectopic pregnancy occurs when an embryo gets implanted and develops outside the womb, mainly in the fallopian tube. Ectopic pregnancies often lead to miscarriage.

The immediate risks of an ectopic pregnancy include possible fallopian tube rupture, which can lead to life-threatening severe internal bleeding. Hence, timely diagnosis and management of this condition is crucial in reducing its risks. You should consult your doctor immediately if you experience the following symptoms:


  • Fainting or dizziness
  • Vaginal bleeding
  • Abdominal pain
  • Shoulder pain.

Having an ectopic pregnancy has a potential impact on future pregnancies as it increases the chance of experiencing another ectopic pregnancy. The risk may vary from one woman to another. Still, studies suggest that it is higher than for those without a history of the condition. However, appropriate medical care can help you have future successful pregnancies after experiencing an ectopic pregnancy. Moreover, early detection is critical in preventing the associated life-threatening complications. 

Physicians can run diagnostic tests like laparoscopy, ultrasounds, or blood tests to evaluate hormone levels if they suspect an ectopic pregnancy. Based on the test results, they may recommend different treatment options, such as:


  • Surgery for removal of the pregnancy or fallopian tube
  • Medications to induce the termination of the ectopic pregnancy

The suitable treatment option will depend on parameters like the size of the pregnancy, gestational age, and overall health.


Reducing Risk: Lifestyle Choices and Miscarriage Prevention

A healthy lifestyle is critical to your overall well-being, especially during pregnancy. Maintaining a healthy lifestyle helps in reducing your risk of miscarriage. Find some lifestyle choices that can help improve your health and increase your chances of a safe pregnancy below. 


Avoid Harmful Substances

It's imperative to abstain from alcohol consumption, smoking, and use of illicit drugs during pregnancy. These substances negatively impact foetal development, and thus increase the likelihood of miscarriage. 


Proper Prenatal Care

Seeking early prenatal care is crucial for monitoring your and your child's health. Frequent check-ups, appropriate vaccinations, and necessary screenings can help detect and address any potential risk.


Maintaining a Healthy Weight

Being obese or underweight can contribute to miscarriage. You should attain and maintain a healthy body weight before getting pregnant. 


Genetic Counselling

If your family history has genetic disorders or if you and your partner have concerns about any hereditary conditions, seek genetic counselling for evaluation and guidance. Genetic testing can help assess potential causes and take suitable measures to prevent pregnancy loss.


Managing Chronic Conditions

Properly managing chronic diseases such as hypertension, diabetes, and thyroid disruptions is vital during gestation. Such conditions can lead to miscarriage if unaddressed.


Conclusion

Understanding the miscarriage risk by week and the potential causes is crucial in effectively managing and preventing early loss of pregnancy. The primary signs of miscarriage include abdominal pain, passing tissue, back pain, and vaginal bleeding. 


The common risk factors of miscarriage are advanced maternal age, uterine abnormalities, chromosomal deformation, and hormonal imbalances. Living a healthy lifestyle during pregnancy, along with proper prenatal care, is critical in reducing your risk of miscarriage. 


Remember, miscarriage is a complex issue; however, you are not alone. Seeking emotional support and professional help alongside medical evaluation can empower you to make informed decisions, increasing your chance of a future safe pregnancy.


References

  • Ammon Avalos, L., Galindo, C., & Li, D. K. (2012). A systematic review to calculate background miscarriage rates using life table analysis. Birth Defects Research Part A: Clinical and Molecular Teratology, 94(6), 417-423. Retrieved from https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/bdra.23014


  • Garcıa-Enguıdanos, A., Calle, M. E., Valero, J., Luna, S., & Domınguez-Rojas, V. (2002). Risk factors in miscarriage: a review. European Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology and Reproductive Biology, 102(2), 111-119. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0301211501006133


 Frequently Asked Questions

  • Does an Ectopic Pregnancy Always Result in a Miscarriage?

    An ectopic pregnancy cannot survive, and it always results in a miscarriage. The pregnancy can even be life-threatening to the mother.


  • How Do Emotional and Psychological Factors Influence the Risk of Miscarriage?

    Emotional and psychological factors impair your health by affecting your immune, neuroendocrine, vascular, and metabolic functions, increasing your risk of miscarriage.


  • Are There Specific Medical Tests That Can Assess the Risk of Miscarriage?

    Chromosomal tests for both partners can help assess the risk of miscarriage; the tests can help identify any irregularity in chromosome formation that could potentially cause miscarriage.   

Polina Pylypenko • January 3, 2024
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